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道路交通安全风险辨识与分析方法综述

寇敏 张萌萌 赵军学 谢清民 李鑫 张荣林

寇敏, 张萌萌, 赵军学, 谢清民, 李鑫, 张荣林. 道路交通安全风险辨识与分析方法综述[J]. 交通信息与安全, 2022, 40(6): 22-32. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2022.06.003
引用本文: 寇敏, 张萌萌, 赵军学, 谢清民, 李鑫, 张荣林. 道路交通安全风险辨识与分析方法综述[J]. 交通信息与安全, 2022, 40(6): 22-32. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2022.06.003
KOU Min, ZHANG Mengmeng, ZHAO Junxue, XIE Qingmin, LI Xin, ZHANG Ronglin. A Review of Identification and Analysis Methods for Road Safety Risk[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2022, 40(6): 22-32. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2022.06.003
Citation: KOU Min, ZHANG Mengmeng, ZHAO Junxue, XIE Qingmin, LI Xin, ZHANG Ronglin. A Review of Identification and Analysis Methods for Road Safety Risk[J]. Journal of Transport Information and Safety, 2022, 40(6): 22-32. doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2022.06.003

道路交通安全风险辨识与分析方法综述

doi: 10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2022.06.003
基金项目: 

国家自然科学基金项目 52102412

全国统计科学研究项目 2021LY017

山东省自然科学基金项目 ZR202103040503

山东省自然科学基金项目 ZR2021QF110

济南市科学技术局项目 2019GXRC022

详细信息
    作者简介:

    寇敏(1994—), 硕士研究生.研究方向: 交通安全.E-mail: 1581839294@qq.com

    通讯作者:

    张萌萌(1981—), 博士, 教授.研究方向: 智能交通、交通规划等.E-mail: 573275197@qq.com

  • 中图分类号: U491

A Review of Identification and Analysis Methods for Road Safety Risk

  • 摘要: 道路交通安全风险辨识及分析的准确性、全面性, 是实现风险主动防控的基础和关键环节, 直接影响道路交通安全管理的精细化水平。从影响因素和分析方法2个方面对道路交通安全风险相关研究进行综述和评论。针对人的不安全行为、车辆的不安全状态、道路的不安全条件、外界环境刺激等单因素风险, 以及多因素间的关联耦合风险辨识, 梳理了安全风险理论分析法、系统安全分析法、大数据与人工智能分析方法等道路交通安全风险分析方法。研究表明: 安全风险理论分析法、系统安全分析法等以定性分析为主的方法侧重于对道路交通安全风险要素的全面、系统梳理, 具有简单、直观、易操作等优势, 但在多因素交织影响下的道路交通事故定量化剖析和事故成因深度挖掘方面存在较多局限性; 基于多源数据挖掘技术的大数据与人工智能分析方法在海量信息感知、高效计算处理等方面优势明显, 可基于多元数据对交通安全风险进行综合分析、精准挖掘, 刻画多因素耦合下的事故风险特征、探究事故发生规律, 是当前较为主流的研究方向。并提出道路交通安全风险研究领域存在的不足之处及未来研究发展方向, 主要包括多源异构数据的动态采集与融合、智能网联环境下的道路交通安全风险辨识、考虑时空异质性的可移植的道路交通安全风险识别模型研究等。

     

  • 图  1  道路交通安全风险影响因素及辨识分析方法框架

    Figure  1.  Influencing factors of road traffic safety risk and identification analysis method framework

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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2022-04-07
  • 网络出版日期:  2023-03-27

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