Analysis of Key Factors Influencing BRT Operating Characteristics
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摘要: 为研究快速公交系统运行特征与其制约因素之间的内在关系和潜在规律,选取包含有多段不同专用道形式的济南市BRT-3运行线路为研究对象。综合选取了可全面描述BRT 运行特性的车辆平均行驶速度、平均行程速度、平均运营速度以及停靠站平均延误和交叉口平均延误5个基本参数,以及8个凸显运行特征的组合式参数作为评价指标;基于数理统计方法和多元分析理论,综合运用多元统计学中的因子分析法,分析影响快速公交运行特性的关键因素,挖掘不同运行特征与影响因素(或因子)间潜在的关系,探索改善快速公交运行特性的方法与途径。综合分析表明:影响快速公交系统运行的关键影响因素是交叉口影响因子、站台停靠影响因子和车路综合影响因子,针对定量分析的结果提出了改进与完善的意见和建议。Abstract: Jinan BRT-3 lines which contain different forms of lanes are selected so as to study the operating charac-teristics and the inner relation between constraints and potential factors of bus rapid transit system .The comprehensive approach in this paper can fully describe the working characteristic of the BRT vehicle ,including average speed ,average running speed ,average delay and average operating speed ,as well as 5 basic parameters in intersection delay and 8 high-light operation characteristics as the evaluation index .The operation data in real-time are collected between different sec-tions and stations ,and the key factors affecting BRT are analyzed by using mathematical statistics method and factor anal-ysis of multivariate statistics .The research aims to demonstrate the relationship between operating characteristics and the impact factors ,and to explore methods to improve BRT characteristics .Comprehensive analyses show that the key factors affecting BRT are the intersection impact factor ,the platform dock impact factor ,and the car road comprehensive impact factor .The quantitative analysis has also led to many constructive suggestions .
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